NOAA: Sub-Tropical Storm Joyce Projected Path, Spaghetti Models

Joyce forms in the Atlantic

Olivia's maximum sustained winds are about 60 miles per hour, after the storm weakened from Category 1 strength, forecasters said.

The cone of possible tropical storm force wind now reaches 13 states, with all of Georgia, North Carolina, South Carolina and Virginia having a chance of receiving winds of 39 miles per hour or above.

Winds: 40% - 60% chance of tropical storm force winds (greater than 39 mph), especially Saturday & Sunday.

The storm is now around 530 miles southeast of Cape Fear, North Carolina, and is moving west-northwest at 17 mph.

Met Office meteorologist Alan Deakin said: "Hurricane Helene may influence things in combination with an area of low pressure over the coming days". No coastal watches or warnings were in effect.

All eyes are on Hurricane Florence and its path toward the Carolinas, but other hurricanes and tropical storms are brewing as well. A NOAA hurricane hunter aircraft will soon fly through the centre of Isaac, and will provide a better assessment of the intensity of the tropical storm and the extent of its winds.

Florence's slow storm movement after landfall may bring an extended period of heavy rainfall through the weekend into early next week.

Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov.

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Tropical Storm Isaac is also worth paying attention to, but the news as of Wednesday is encouraging.

Like Isaac, Tropical Storm Joyce is packing maximum winds of about 65 km/h. The storm is packing top winds of 70 miles per hour while tracking to the west at 17 miles per hour. Mandatory evacuations have been issued for much of the SC and North Carolina coastline.

Winds of tropical storm strength could reach Puerto Rico on Friday morning.

"We do not anticipate experiencing any tropical storm or hurricane force winds, but we could experience rain and will be placed under a flash flood watch", said Governor Kenneth Mapp in a release issued late Thursday.

"Cloudiness and showers associated with a trough of low pressure over the south-central Gulf of Mexico have decreased since yesterday and the Air Force reconnaissance plane scheduled to investigate the system for today will likely be canceled", said the NHC on September 12.

With predicted rainfall measured in feet not inches, forecasters say people living along creeks and rivers in the Carolinas should move to higher ground well ahead of the storm's arrival.

Current guidance suggests the potential for warning level winds and perhaps rain with the system.

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