Storm Michael could soon form, hit US midweek

Tropical wave could affect western Caribbean

According to Weather Underground's Cat 6 blog, a similar system became Tropical Depression 16 at this time past year and would later become Hurricane Nate, which made landfall in Louisiana as a Category 1 storm on October 7.

The weather system is given a 30 percent chance for tropical development over the next five days, according to a Hurricane Center advisory issued early Thursday morning.

Maximum sustained winds of the storm were reported at 80 miles per hour with higher gusts.

Low pressure in the western Caribbean could soon become the next named storm in the Atlantic Basin as it strengthens and moves north.

The Spaghetti Model plot is shown below, but just a few models have been run.

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Before reaching the Gulf on Monday, the disturbed weather is expected to to become a tropical depression on Sunday and and tropical storm Michael on Sunday night.

The storm system forming in the southeastern Gulf of Mexico may be nothing, forecasters say.

If the system takes that path, southeast Louisiana can expect 1-3 inches of rain and higher-than-normal-tides Monday through Wednesday, Cranford said.

"Residents and others with interests along the central or northeastern Gulf Coast should closely monitor the progress of the storm", Accuweather said in a forecast tonight.

Hurricane season runs through November 30.

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